Flemington, Saturday, 21/5

Conditions - Good

Race 1

8- REFLECT THE STARS

1- TARAMANSOUR

4- ACCOUNTABILITY

This is a very open race to start the day, TARAMANSOUR opts to remain here instead of a race in SA. He gets back onto a dry surface which suits and he is 3rd up today. 2 wins from 2 3rd up runs and looks a big chance in this. REFLECT THE STARS should be an improver for being 2nd up here today. She has always needed a run for fitness and has won multiple times when 2nd up and is 4:1-1-2 over this distance. ACCOUNTABILITY should be an improver today now that he gets out to a distance range where he does most of his best work. He is the current fave but that seems a risk with his recent form.

Race 2

1- BROSNAN

13- FAR FROM DISCREET

2- LETHAL THOUGHTS

BRONSON has a big drop in class from anything he has contested in his short career. He is still a maiden runner but has been running at a high level and gets a chance today. FAR FROM DISCREET should take some benefit for having had the debut run. Got stuck at times but ,add good ground when finding space late. LETHAL THOUGHTS is the only runner in this field who has winning form and that shouldn’t be discounted.

Race 3

2- FLASH FEELING

1- BLUSHING TYCOON

3- NATURAL MYSTIC

FLASH FEELING is the current race fave. He backs up from a win here at Flemington last week and the rise to the 2000m here should really suit him and there is an expected hot tempo which my really set him up well to swoop on them late. BLUSHING TYCOON comes off the back of a decent effort in a good level race last start. Think he can lead here and with a clearer one in the straight he should be amongst the finish. He usually runs well here at Flemington. NATURAL MYSTIC steps up in grade after winning his debut start. He had to really fight for that win over the 1600m and that suggests that with a clear run he is capable of covering the 2000m

Race 4

4- DEFINING

14- LIBERATED GIRL

2- CANBYA

DEFINING has definitely found her feet this prep having won her maiden and then winning again next start before running 2nd to a very smart young horse. She will be about midfield but should be suited and find space late at his track. LIBERATED GIRL was spelled straight after an impressive debut win. She has trialled well again prior to resuming here and has good potential. CANBYA has recently defeated some other runners that are in this race. She is 2nd up today and won 2nd up last prep.

Race 5

5- STAR PATROL

7- TREPORTI

13- OUTBACK ACTION

Hard to see anything beating STAR PATROL here if he can repeat any of anything close to what he produced last start. He absolutely smashed a pretty handy field and did it in a good time too. Short odds but hard to look past if he produces that again. TREPORTI is a resuming runner who has pretty good form when resuming. He has also had a win down the Flemington straight which can be a big advantage so a bet to place here might be the best bet of the race over the short price fave to win. OUTBACK ACTION comes up in class after a maiden victory. He is right down at the light end of the weight scale and will potentially be the leader, with the right run he is a chance to steal this.

Race 6

18- COOLTH

14- WORTHILY

3- FIVE KINGDOM

WORTHILY beat home some good runners in his last start at Sale and there has been some good form come out of that race since now. I like him here at the 1800m trip and at Flemington I think he will appreciate the space of the straight. COOLTH backs up from a run here last week where he found trouble in the straight again. With clear room he is a huge threat and the rise to 1800m gives him a bit more to work with here.  FIVE KINGDOM is a big chance here as well, has been in good recent form without winning and has placed in 3 country cups recently. He has a good record at the track and clearly likes running here (3:2-0-0)

Race 7

12- IT’SOURTIME

1- BLAZEJOWSKI

6- ROMANCER

IT’SOURTIME was well backed last start but then barely in the race after missing the kick. Willing to give him another chance here as I haven’t seen him miss it on other occasions and he has had previous good form down the Flemington straight and it is his home track. BLAZEJOWSKI is an outsiders chance, but he has had a successful career and has good form when he is 1st up and here at Flemington. ROMANCER loves to go down the Flemington straight, he has won stronger races than this here and could figure if he brings his best.

Race 8

13- TUVALU (BEST OF THE DAY)

8- SKYMAN

7- IMPERIAL LAD

Hard to look past TUVALU who in his short career has been impressive every run. His career record is 8:5-3-0 and 2 of the 2nds were behind a Group 1 winner. The last start win at Warrnambool was huge considering the track conditions but how he took off late on the inferior ground was impressive. Only small knock might be that he hasn’t managed a win from 2 starts at this track but, was 2nd in both. Thought SKYMAN finished off really nicely in his last start in what was a very similar race to this. Potentially he got too far back and maybe that won’t happen again, but from the wider barrier I’m expecting he will be mid to back of the field. If he is back, he probably gets more room to work with late here with the bigger straight. IMPERIAL LAD always puts in big efforts, he will push forwards and lead, if he gets the right run he can be hard to catch sometimes.

Race 9

6- HYPERSONIC

4- ZAC DE BOSS

12- JAPERY

Tough race to finish the day, so tried to find something with a bit of value. Landed on HYPERSONIC who is from an in form stable and he just hasn’t found the right day in his past couple, didn’t appreciate the heavy going at Warrnambool and just didn’t have much to work with at Caulfield prior to that, so really like the booking of a senior jockey to help sort him out a bit. ZAC DE BOSS only just got run down late here last start, he doesn’t mind going down the straight which is good but he potentially has to do it from the inferior part of the straight on the inside. JAPERY resumes today and is a winner down the straight over this distance. Hasn’t won for a while now, but trial form has been nice and he has previously won when fresh.

Quaddie

3,13,14,18

1,6,8,9,12,14

13

4,6,9,12,15,16,18