
Morphettville, Saturday, 26/8
Conditions - SOFT
Race 1
4- AMMO AMOR β
3- PRINCE JOFRA π₯
7- LORD LUKER π₯
AMMO AMOR was an impressive winner last start in this same grade and over this same trip. He only goes up 2kgs but maps well and did string 2 wins together in a row back in December, he should run well again here. PRINCE JOFRA produced an improving run last start to go close to a win from a wide barrier. He maps better here today and up in distance suits. LORD LUKER may need some luck from the inside barrier but he has been hitting the line hard over the 1400m so the rise in trip today should suit and he did win here on the parks track 1st up this prep.
Race 2
15- EVERLY π₯
3- GRINT β
8- THE GOLDEN FIST π₯
The Clarken/OβShea stable look to have a hold on this race with their pair of runners who both performed well on debut recently at Murray Bridge. While GRINT did hit the line best of the 2 and is the race fave, I feel it might be EVERLY who will be better suited at the parks. She has good early speed and is drawn well so should be suited on this track, but wary GRINT who looks a good type. THE GOLDEN FIST looks the best of the debutants in this, his recent trials have been good including the last one when he shaded a stable mate who was heavily backed to win on debut Wednesday at Murray Bridge.
Race 3
1- CALLA DREAM (EW/VALUE OF DAY) π₯
4- ORACLE SON π₯
3- JEAN VALJEAN π₯
The map for this race is interesting with well fancied runners such as JEAN VALJEAN & PRANCING QUEEN mapping to be at the back of this field which will potentially make it tough for them. One horse at good odds I think can run us a race at an EW price is CALLA DREAM. She loves it here at the parks and usually runs well at this trip (3:2-1-0) and can run well 1st up usually. I think she can land in a strong position forwards and should be in this for a long way to at least see us finish in the placings. Victorian visitor PORT ALBERT rates highly in this field and maps for a good run from midfield. He has previously been competitive in Melbourne in stronger races so should stack up here. ORACLE SON has had a good prep winning 2 of his past 3. The only one he missed was here on this track 2 starts back when he got caught out wide, he is a risk of that happening again from a wider barrier but with the expected slower tempo he may find a better position and will be strong late.
Race 4
8- INSULATION π₯
2- THE NEPHEW β
6- DOES IT β
This is a tough staying race with a mix of form lines and a tricky map, so not one Iβm super keen to play in, but INSULATION is one that looks hard to beat at the short price. He was a winner at a short price last start at Sale and hitting the line well which suggest this rise in trip will suit him. He has a light weight and maps well. THE NEPHEW won out in trip last weekend and backs up again here. He has to carry a big weight and comes back down in trip which are negatives, but maybe his class will see him through. DOES IT usually only improves the deeper he gets into a prep and is up in trip today, he will a race soon you would expect.
Race 5
3- STORM HUNTER π₯
5- FALAISE β
2- DEEVINE β
STORM HUNTER was in super form prior to his last run where he was 5th as a short price fave but it was a forgivable run given he pulled up with a slow recovery. The freshen up should have done him good and he gets a lot in his favour here today and this is a winnable race for him. FALAISE resumes from a freshen up since he contested a strong 3YO level race at Murray Bridge. Prior to that run he was looking like a very progressive type and he should be hitting the line hard here with a light weight on the back. DEEVINE drops in grade today and wouldnβt surprise at the big price at the easier level, he might need luck in the run but he is a consistent type.
Race 6
5- CLARENCE β
3- ETIENNE π₯
4- ROMAN LAW β
CLARENCE was very impressive when winning his maiden as a short price fave at Balaklava recently. She defeated the handy SOAMES who came out and franked the form when winning on Wednesday at Murray Bridge. CLARENCE maps really well here, as there looks to be a very hot tempo and from barrier 6 he can settle just behind that speed and should be strong late. Visitor ETIENNE was scratched from a race earlier in the week and comes here instead. He has won a trial leading into this and maps to get the leading position so may have run of the race. ROMAN LAW has had some good early market support for today backing up after a run last week when he run into some trouble mid race before he finished off strong. He may improve here with a better run.
Race 7
11- COOL MAGNUM π₯
5- BELLINGER π₯
10- ALPINE FLYER π₯
COOL MAGNUM looks close to a win having run 2nd in his last 2 runs. He is stepping up in grade from those runs but gets a lot in his favour today. He maps to go forward and probably lead from the good barrier, 3kgs thanks to an apprentice claim come off his back so he will only carry 52kgs and he also has a super record 4th up which is where he finds himself today (3:2-1-0). He may be peaking at the perfect time for this race. BELLINGER was a winner at this track 2 starts ago and resumes off a spell now. It looks a suitable kick off point for him today and he has a bit of class, the only risk with him today is the race map and if he doesnβt get too far back on the rail. ALPINE FLYER is 2nd up now and goes super at this point of a prep (3:2-1-0), expect she should go well but probably needs luck from barrier 1.
Race 8
14- SEE YOU IN HEAVEN (BEST OF DAY) π₯
11- SEONEE π₯
7- PUDDING β
Tough to look past star runner SEE YOU IN HEAVEN who looks set to chase stronger races in Victoria next after this run. She previously has taken a few races to find her best form, but her 1st up run against a very similar field suggest that she is in super order. There isnβt to much more to say here, she is well placed in this level and up to the 1400m suits. Hard to beat and anything around the $2 is a good bet. SEONEE is currently still nominated for both here and Moonee Valley, but if she does come here, she looks as if she will be very competitive after she has won 3 in a row and is undefeated from 4 runs at this 1400m trip. PUDDING the stable mate of the favourite is resuming after he finished last prep with 2 wins in a row. He likes the parks track and has won 4 of 7 starts here. He is a big price but always runs well and from barrier 4 should be prominent. Also respect for in form runners VALIDATED & SAVATOXL.
Race 9
13- GARRIRE π₯
8- MR MARATHON MAN β
6- INFINITE MATRIX β
Tough race to finish for the day and very open as the current favorites are at the $7.50 quote showing how open it looks. GARRIRE wouldnβt surprise at decent odds. The last start was forgivable given he may have had some excuses but prior to that his form was up to a race of this level and he will likely go forwards and be prominent in the running. MR MARATHON MAN threatened last week in a stronger race but only held ground late. He will find this easier and goes up in trip which may help him improve. INFINITE MATRIX maps to get run of the race from barrier 5 if leader look to have the advantage up the front.
Quaddie
2,3,4,5,6 β
1,5,10,11 β
14 β
5,6,7,8,10,13,14,16 β
$160 = 100% β
